Player breakdown
Christian McCaffrey
Stanford · 2017 Draft Class
5-11202 lbs1st round, 8th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~30
EliteAll-American x1All-Conference x11000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 1539NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
85%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | CAR | 16 | 117 | 435 | 2 | 80 | 651 | 5 | 1,086 |
| 2018 | CAR | 16 | 219 | 1,098 | 7 | 107 | 867 | 6 | 1,965 |
| 2019 | CAR | 16 | 287 | 1,387 | 15 | 116 | 1,005 | 4 | 2,392 |
| 2020 | CAR | 3 | 59 | 225 | 5 | 17 | 149 | 1 | 374 |
| 2021 | CAR | 7 | 99 | 442 | 1 | 37 | 343 | 1 | 785 |
| 2022 | SFO | 11 | 159 | 746 | 6 | 52 | 464 | 4 | 1,210 |
| 2023 | SFO | 16 | 272 | 1,459 | 14 | 67 | 564 | 7 | 2,023 |
| 2024 | SFO | 4 | 50 | 202 | 0 | 15 | 146 | 0 | 348 |
| 2025 | SFO | 17 | 311 | 1,202 | 10 | 102 | 924 | 7 | 2,126 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Stanford | ACC | 0 | 35 | 243 | 0 | 16 | 251 | 494 |
| 2015 | Stanford | ACC | 0 | 319 | 1,847 | 8 | 41 | 540 | 2,387 |
| 2016 | Stanford | ACC | 0 | 253 | 1,603 | 13 | 37 | 310 | 1,913 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
79%
ML model output
Context Prob
79%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
1,598 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396
Top Negative Factors
4.22s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush td rate-0.411
11.82 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360