Player breakdown
C.J. Spiller
Clemson · 2010 Draft Class
5-11196 lbs1st round, 9th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~39
EliteAll-American x1All-Conference x11000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
95%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | BUF | 14 | 74 | 283 | 0 | 24 | 157 | 1 | 440 |
| 2011 | BUF | 16 | 107 | 561 | 4 | 39 | 269 | 2 | 830 |
| 2012 | BUF | 16 | 207 | 1,244 | 6 | 43 | 459 | 2 | 1,703 |
| 2013 | BUF | 15 | 202 | 933 | 2 | 33 | 185 | 0 | 1,118 |
| 2014 | BUF | 9 | 78 | 300 | 0 | 19 | 125 | 1 | 425 |
| 2015 | NOR | 13 | 36 | 112 | 0 | 34 | 239 | 2 | 351 |
| 2016 | NYJ | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 16 |
| 2017 | KAN | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | Clemson | ACC | 0 | 124 | 914 | 10 | 19 | 210 | 1,124 |
| 2007 | Clemson | ACC | 0 | 137 | 656 | 2 | 32 | 276 | 932 |
| 2008 | Clemson | ACC | 0 | 109 | 612 | 7 | 30 | 430 | 1,042 |
| 2009 | Clemson | ACC | 0 | 216 | 1,212 | 12 | 36 | 503 | 1,715 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
92%
ML model output
Context Prob
92%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.37s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395
Top Negative Factors
8.75 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
117 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Conference-adjusted speed score: 96.7 — speed measured against quality competition-0.154