Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Cyrus Gray
Cyrus Gray

Player breakdown

Cyrus Gray

Texas A&M · 2012 Draft Class

5-10206 lbs6th round, 182nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~36
EliteMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

80%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2012KAN107440218062
2013KAN169240746070
2014KAN9831100031
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2008Texas A&MSEC07536311060423
2009Texas A&MSEC0159757528226983
2010Texas A&MSEC01801,03312332421,275
2011Texas A&MSEC01981,04512312391,284

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

80%

ML model output

Context Prob

80%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Conference-adjusted speed score: 109.9 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.40s forty — average speed+0.395

Top Negative Factors

Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.305
102 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
4+ star recruit who delivered 800+ yard season — pedigree backed by results (score: 1.03)-0.229

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)