Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dalvin Cook
Dalvin Cook

Player breakdown

Dalvin Cook

Florida St. · 2017 Draft Class

5-10210 lbs2nd round, 41st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~31
EliteAll-American x1All-Conference x11000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

93%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2017MIN474354211900444
2018MIN111336152403052920
2019MIN142501,135135351901,654
2020MIN143121,557164436111,918
2021MIN132491,15963422401,383
2022MIN172641,17383929521,468
2023NYJ1567214015780292
2024DAL28200110030
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2014Florida StateACC61559058191791,084
2015Florida StateACC02111,65818222181,876
2016Florida StateACC92681,62018304262,046

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

90%

ML model output

Context Prob

90%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
1,668 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396
4.49s forty — average speed+0.395

Top Negative Factors

4.53s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
9.74 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
71 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)