Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dameon Pierce
Dameon Pierce

Player breakdown

Dameon Pierce

Florida · 2022 Draft Class

5-10218 lbs4th round, 107th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~26
High1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

61%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2022HOU1322093943016511,104
2023HOU141454162131010517
2024HOU11402932220295
2025KAN1410000010
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2018FloridaSEC3654252520445
2019FloridaSEC4482714430301
2020FloridaSEC5106503417156659
2021FloridaSEC8875171218217734

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

61%

ML model output

Context Prob

61%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.59s forty — slow speed+0.395
3.37 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
Catch radius: 87.2 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

44 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
5 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.241
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)