Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Damien Harris
Damien Harris

Player breakdown

Damien Harris

Alabama · 2019 Draft Class

5-10216 lbs3rd round, 87th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~29
High1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

67%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2019NWE2412000012
2020NWE1013769125520743
2021NWE15202929151813201,061
2022NWE11106462317970559
2023BUF6239412160110
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2015AlabamaSEC0451551413168
2016AlabamaSEC41319862131051,091
2017AlabamaSEC011090611866972
2018AlabamaSEC6126771718176947

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

67%

ML model output

Context Prob

67%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.57s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 88.5 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227

Top Negative Factors

43 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
423.7 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison-0.264
4 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.241

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)