Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Damien Martinez
Damien Martinez

Player breakdown

Damien Martinez

Miami (FL) · 2025 Draft Class

6-0217 lbs7th round, 223rd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~22
EliteMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

79%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2022Oregon StatePac-121215897074611,031
2023Oregon StatePac-12121941,1859111261,311
2024MiamiACC121458239161981,021

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

79%

ML model output

Context Prob

79%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.51s forty — average speed+0.395
4.71 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.295
Catch radius: 89.5 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

16 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229
Conference-adjusted speed score: 94.4 — speed measured against quality competition-0.173

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)