Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Damien Nash
Damien Nash

Player breakdown

Damien Nash

Missouri · 2005 Draft Class

5th round, 142nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~44
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

6%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2005TEN36320314046
2006DEN3186604410107
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003MissouriSEC12753733988461
2004MissouriSEC6164792725176968

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

6%

ML model output

Context Prob

6%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
12 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)