Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Darius Jackson
Darius Jackson

Player breakdown

Darius Jackson

Eastern Michigan · 2016 Draft Class

6th round, 216th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~32
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

8%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2018DAL2616000016
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2012Eastern MichiganMid-American031200012
2013Eastern MichiganMid-American0492012326227
2014Eastern MichiganMid-American361295120148443
2015Eastern MichiganMid-American02081,07814212011,279

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

8%

ML model output

Context Prob

8%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
21 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
3 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)