Player breakdown
Darren McFadden
Arkansas · 2008 Draft Class
6-1211 lbs1st round, 4th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~39
EliteDoak Walker x2All-American x2All-Conference x21000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 6Heisman votes: 4043NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
95%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | OAK | 13 | 113 | 499 | 4 | 29 | 285 | 0 | 784 |
| 2009 | OAK | 12 | 104 | 357 | 1 | 21 | 245 | 0 | 602 |
| 2010 | OAK | 13 | 223 | 1,157 | 7 | 47 | 507 | 3 | 1,664 |
| 2011 | OAK | 7 | 113 | 614 | 4 | 19 | 154 | 1 | 768 |
| 2012 | OAK | 12 | 216 | 707 | 2 | 42 | 258 | 1 | 965 |
| 2013 | OAK | 10 | 114 | 379 | 5 | 17 | 108 | 0 | 487 |
| 2014 | OAK | 16 | 155 | 534 | 2 | 36 | 212 | 0 | 746 |
| 2015 | DAL | 16 | 239 | 1,089 | 3 | 40 | 328 | 0 | 1,417 |
| 2016 | DAL | 3 | 24 | 87 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 104 |
| 2017 | DAL | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | Arkansas | SEC | 0 | 176 | 1,113 | 11 | 14 | 52 | 1,165 |
| 2006 | Arkansas | SEC | 0 | 265 | 1,558 | 14 | 11 | 149 | 1,707 |
| 2007 | Arkansas | SEC | 0 | 304 | 1,725 | 15 | 21 | 164 | 1,889 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
99%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
2 All-Conference selections — back-to-back conference dominance+0.494
Conference-adjusted speed score: 120.0 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
Top Negative Factors
8.95 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
46 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Rb rush share of scrimmage-0.182