Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Darrynton Evans
Darrynton Evans

Player breakdown

Darrynton Evans

Appalachian St. · 2020 Draft Class

5-10203 lbs3rd round, 93rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~28
EliteMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

80%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2020TEN514540227181
2021TEN1270211018
2022CHI614640133097
2023MIA2216000016
2024CHI53300003
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2016Appalachian StateSun Belt0482170634251
2018Appalachian StateSun Belt01651,079712871,166
2019Appalachian StateSun Belt02361,32317181931,516

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

80%

ML model output

Context Prob

80%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.41s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 88.5 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

7.47 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.318
36 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
977 avg yards/season — solid output-0.170

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)