Predicting the Pros
Predictions/David Cobb
David Cobb

Player breakdown

David Cobb

Minnesota · 2015 Draft Class

5-11229 lbs5th round, 138th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~33
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

30%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2015TEN75214611-20144
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2011MinnesotaBig Ten0105700057
2012MinnesotaBig Ten01801311
2013MinnesotaBig Ten52191,1117161621,273
2014MinnesotaBig Ten82941,54813121291,677

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

30%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.81s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 90.2 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
20 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

Rb rush td rate-0.411
1 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)