Player breakdown
David Montgomery
Iowa St. · 2019 Draft Class
5-10222 lbs3rd round, 73rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~29
High1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
72%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | CHI | 16 | 242 | 889 | 6 | 25 | 185 | 1 | 1,074 |
| 2020 | CHI | 15 | 247 | 1,070 | 8 | 54 | 438 | 2 | 1,508 |
| 2021 | CHI | 13 | 225 | 849 | 7 | 42 | 301 | 0 | 1,150 |
| 2022 | CHI | 16 | 201 | 801 | 5 | 34 | 316 | 1 | 1,117 |
| 2023 | DET | 14 | 219 | 1,015 | 13 | 16 | 117 | 0 | 1,132 |
| 2024 | DET | 14 | 185 | 775 | 12 | 36 | 341 | 0 | 1,116 |
| 2025 | DET | 17 | 158 | 716 | 8 | 24 | 192 | 0 | 908 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2 | 109 | 563 | 2 | 13 | 129 | 692 |
| 2017 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6 | 234 | 1,094 | 11 | 35 | 288 | 1,382 |
| 2018 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 8 | 231 | 1,092 | 12 | 18 | 102 | 1,194 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
72%
ML model output
Context Prob
72%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
4.63s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 84.2 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
25 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Top Negative Factors
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324
66 career receptions — limited volume-0.278