Predicting the Pros
Predictions/David Wilson
David Wilson

Player breakdown

David Wilson

Virginia Tech · 2012 Draft Class

5-10206 lbs1st round, 32nd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~35
EliteAll-Conference x1Missed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

76%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2012NYG167135844341392
2013NYG5441461280154
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2009Virginia TechACC059334400334
2010Virginia TechACC0111616513207823
2011Virginia TechACC02661,6279211261,753

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

73%

ML model output

Context Prob

73%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.38s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395

Top Negative Factors

4.12s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush td rate-0.411
8.51 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)