Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Deji Karim
Deji Karim

Player breakdown

Deji Karim

Southern Illinois · 2010 Draft Class

6th round, 180th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~39
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

6%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2010JAX113516003100170
2011JAX12631300141200250
2013HOU7125101-1050
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2007Southern IllinoisMVFC6763868417403

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

6%

ML model output

Context Prob

6%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

22.4 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
8 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)