Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Demetric Felton
Demetric Felton

Player breakdown

Demetric Felton

UCLA · 2021 Draft Class

5-8189 lbs6th round, 211th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~28
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

26%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2017UCLABig Ten165410054
2018UCLABig Ten0527020207234
2019UCLABig Ten086331155594925
2020UCLABig Ten0132668522159827

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

26%

ML model output

Context Prob

26%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.55s forty — slow speed+0.395
4.89 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.295
15 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Physical upside: 0.83 — elite athletic ceiling-0.300

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)