Player breakdown
Derrick Henry
Alabama · 2016 Draft Class
6-3247 lbs2nd round, 45th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~32
EliteHeisman x1Doak Walker x1All-American x1All-Conference x21000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 5Heisman votes: 1832NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
95%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | TEN | 15 | 110 | 490 | 5 | 13 | 137 | 0 | 627 |
| 2017 | TEN | 16 | 176 | 744 | 5 | 11 | 136 | 1 | 880 |
| 2018 | TEN | 16 | 215 | 1,059 | 12 | 15 | 99 | 0 | 1,158 |
| 2019 | TEN | 15 | 303 | 1,540 | 16 | 18 | 206 | 2 | 1,746 |
| 2020 | TEN | 16 | 378 | 2,027 | 17 | 19 | 114 | 0 | 2,141 |
| 2021 | TEN | 8 | 219 | 937 | 10 | 18 | 154 | 0 | 1,091 |
| 2022 | TEN | 16 | 349 | 1,538 | 13 | 33 | 398 | 0 | 1,936 |
| 2023 | TEN | 17 | 280 | 1,167 | 12 | 28 | 214 | 0 | 1,381 |
| 2024 | BAL | 17 | 325 | 1,921 | 16 | 19 | 193 | 2 | 2,114 |
| 2025 | BAL | 17 | 307 | 1,595 | 16 | 15 | 150 | 0 | 1,745 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | Alabama | SEC | 2 | 28 | 282 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 282 |
| 2014 | Alabama | SEC | 8 | 159 | 895 | 10 | 3 | 79 | 974 |
| 2015 | Alabama | SEC | 0 | 339 | 1,986 | 23 | 10 | 97 | 2,083 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
76%
ML model output
Context Prob
76%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
2 All-Conference selections — back-to-back conference dominance+0.494
Conference-adjusted speed score: 116.3 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.54s forty — average speed+0.395
Top Negative Factors
4.38s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
3 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
8.43 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.339