Player breakdown
Derrius Guice
LSU · 2018 Draft Class
5-10224 lbs2nd round, 59th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~29
EliteMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
83%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | WAS | 5 | 42 | 245 | 2 | 7 | 79 | 1 | 324 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | LSU | SEC | 0 | 47 | 397 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 411 |
| 2016 | LSU | SEC | 0 | 157 | 1,249 | 14 | 6 | 95 | 1,344 |
| 2017 | LSU | SEC | 7 | 216 | 1,153 | 11 | 15 | 100 | 1,253 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
83%
ML model output
Context Prob
83%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Conference-adjusted speed score: 110.2 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.49s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 85.8 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
Top Negative Factors
3 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
24 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
573.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison-0.264