Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Devante Mays
Devante Mays

Player breakdown

Devante Mays

Utah St. · 2017 Draft Class

7th round, 238th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~32
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

5%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2017GNB84103001
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2015Utah StateMountain West0153842919851
2016Utah StateMountain West137259318267

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

5%

ML model output

Context Prob

5%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
12 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
1 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.300

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)