Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Devin Neal
Devin Neal

Player breakdown

Devin Neal

Kansas · 2025 Draft Class

5-11213 lbs6th round, 184th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~23
EliteMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

85%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2025NOR10572062171040310
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2021KansasBig 1251587078757764
2022KansasBig 12121711,0619191601,221
2023KansasBig 12131831,20915242141,423
2024KansasBig 12122191,26616242541,520

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

85%

ML model output

Context Prob

85%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.58s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 89.8 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
52 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

74 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
7.14 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.259
Rb rush yards per game-0.142

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)