Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dexter Williams
Dexter Williams

Player breakdown

Dexter Williams

Notre Dame · 2019 Draft Class

5-11212 lbs6th round, 194th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~29
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

37%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2019GNB4511000011
2020GNB32800008
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2015Notre DameFBS Independents0197910079
2016Notre DameFBS Independents0392003416216
2017Notre DameFBS Independents3373244213337
2018Notre DameFBS Independents714294112131041,045

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

37%

ML model output

Context Prob

37%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.57s forty — slow speed+0.395
55.9 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.325
Catch radius: 89.0 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.16s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
19 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
4 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.241

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)