Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dion Lewis
Dion Lewis

Player breakdown

Dion Lewis

Pittsburgh · 2011 Draft Class

5-7193 lbs5th round, 149th overallAge at Draft: 20Age: ~35
High1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

56%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2011PHI152310211-3099
2012PHI913691224093
2015NWE7492342363882622
2016NWE764283017940377
2017NWE1618089663221431,110
2018TEN161555171594001917
2019TEN16542090251641373
2020NYG16291152191271242
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2009PittsburghACC93251,79917251891,988
2010PittsburghACC819795612272161,172

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

56%

ML model output

Context Prob

56%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

1,580 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396
4.56s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 84.2 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.18s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
10.30 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)