Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dominic Knicely
Dominic Knicely

Player breakdown

Dominic Knicely

Coastal Carolina · 2026 Draft Class

Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

13%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2025Coastal CarolinaSun Belt136436311299462

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

13%

ML model output

Context Prob

13%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

23.7 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
1 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Rb rush td rate-0.411
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.300

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)