Player breakdown
Donnel Pumphrey
San Diego St. · 2017 Draft Class
5-8176 lbs4th round, 132nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~31
EliteMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
87%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 0 | 123 | 750 | 8 | 22 | 234 | 984 |
| 2014 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 10 | 255 | 1,755 | 19 | 19 | 118 | 1,873 |
| 2015 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 0 | 284 | 1,554 | 16 | 27 | 397 | 1,951 |
| 2016 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 0 | 330 | 2,018 | 16 | 26 | 205 | 2,223 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
87%
ML model output
Context Prob
87%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1,757 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396
4.48s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 84.8 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
Top Negative Factors
12.63 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
Physical upside: 0.81 — elite athletic ceiling-0.300
94 career receptions — limited volume-0.278