Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dwayne Washington
Dwayne Washington

Player breakdown

Dwayne Washington

Washington · 2016 Draft Class

6-0170 lbs7th round, 236th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~32
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

15%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2016DET1290265110620327
2017DET520440214058
2018NOR13271540000154
2019NOR16860016066
2020NOR11815000015
2021NOR144160212028
2022NOR121138017045
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2013WashingtonBig Ten447332415337
2014WashingtonBig Ten611965591170725
2015WashingtonBig Ten047282425315597

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

15%

ML model output

Context Prob

15%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.26 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
21 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
1 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Physical upside: 0.52 — average athletic ceiling-0.300

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)