Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dwayne Wright
Dwayne Wright

Player breakdown

Dwayne Wright

Fresno St. · 2007 Draft Class

5-11228 lbs4th round, 111th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~43
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

18%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2007BUF15299403170111
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003Fresno StateMountain West5482131858271
2004Fresno StateMountain West2511853365250
2006Fresno StateMountain West82611,46211292211,683

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

18%

ML model output

Context Prob

18%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.66s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 88.0 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
16 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

4.43s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)