Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dylan Riley
Dylan Riley

Player breakdown

Dylan Riley

Boise State · 2027 Draft Class

Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

13%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2025Boise StateMountain West141911,1096141481,257

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

13%

ML model output

Context Prob

13%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
6 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Rb rush td rate-0.411
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.300

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)