Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dylan Sampson
Dylan Sampson

Player breakdown

Dylan Sampson

Tennessee · 2025 Draft Class

5-8200 lbs4th round, 126th overallAge at Draft: 20Age: ~21
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

27%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2025CLE15651750332712446
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2022TennesseeSEC0583976324421
2023TennesseeSEC1286471717175646
2024TennesseeSEC122561,48522191411,626

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

27%

ML model output

Context Prob

27%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Catch radius: 85.5 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
36 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
3 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
8.13 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.318

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)