Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Eddie Lacy
Eddie Lacy

Player breakdown

Eddie Lacy

Alabama · 2013 Draft Class

5-11231 lbs2nd round, 61st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~36
Elite1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

90%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2013GNB152841,178113525701,435
2014GNB162461,13994242741,566
2015GNB151877583201882946
2016GNB57136004280388
2017SEA96917906470226
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2010AlabamaSEC3513204218338
2011AlabamaSEC584631711131762
2012AlabamaSEC92041,32217221891,511

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

90%

ML model output

Context Prob

90%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Conference-adjusted speed score: 107.8 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.55s forty — slow speed+0.395
Physical upside: 0.96 — elite athletic ceiling+0.381

Top Negative Factors

2 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
35 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
870 avg yards/season — solid output-0.133

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)