Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Edwin Baker
Edwin Baker

Player breakdown

Edwin Baker

Michigan St. · 2012 Draft Class

5-8204 lbs7th round, 250th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~35
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

19%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2013CLE34317128570228
2014NOR31200002
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2009Michigan StateBig Ten0854271743470
2010Michigan StateBig Ten91951,187133221,209
2011Michigan StateBig Ten51646555560715

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

19%

ML model output

Context Prob

19%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.44s forty — average speed+0.395
Conference-adjusted speed score: 105.0 — speed measured against quality competition+0.280
Catch radius: 85.5 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.31s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)