Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Elijah Mitchell
Elijah Mitchell

Player breakdown

Elijah Mitchell

Louisiana · 2021 Draft Class

5-10201 lbs6th round, 194th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~28
Low1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

36%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2021SFO1120796351913711,100
2022SFO5452792370286
2023SFO117528126140295
2025KAN10000000
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2017LouisianaSun Belt3422574325282
2018LouisianaSun Belt813995112193421,293
2019LouisianaSun Belt101871,0921510701,162
2020LouisianaSun Belt01418788161531,031

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

36%

ML model output

Context Prob

36%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.38s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395
Catch radius: 88.8 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227

Top Negative Factors

4.19s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
3 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
48 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)