Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Eric Gray
Eric Gray

Player breakdown

Eric Gray

Oklahoma · 2023 Draft Class

5-10207 lbs5th round, 172nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~26
MediumMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

54%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2023NYG1317480622070
2024NYG171431010820113
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2019TennesseeSEC08745331181534
2020TennesseeSEC01577724302541,026
2021OklahomaSEC070330218204534
2022OklahomaSEC02131,36611332291,595

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

54%

ML model output

Context Prob

54%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
Catch radius: 88.8 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.210

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
7.71 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.318
Physical upside: 0.57 — average athletic ceiling-0.300

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)