Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Eric Shelton
Eric Shelton

Player breakdown

Eric Shelton

Louisville · 2005 Draft Class

6-1246 lbs2nd round, 54th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~43
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

61%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2006CAR9823016029
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003LouisvilleACC578393200393
2004LouisvilleACC712886219635897

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

61%

ML model output

Context Prob

61%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.53s forty — average speed+0.395
Physical upside: 1.02 — elite athletic ceiling+0.381
3.65 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360

Top Negative Factors

4.08s short shuttle — elite lateral quickness-0.665
6 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)