Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Evan Hull
Evan Hull

Player breakdown

Evan Hull

Northwestern · 2023 Draft Class

5-10209 lbs5th round, 176th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~25
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

32%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2023IND11101607
2025NOR61948016054
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2019NorthwesternBig Ten146286400286
2020NorthwesternBig Ten2252092641250
2021NorthwesternBig Ten01961,0097332641,273
2022NorthwesternBig Ten122219135555461,459

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

32%

ML model output

Context Prob

32%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.47s forty — average speed+0.395
Conference-adjusted speed score: 104.7 — speed measured against quality competition+0.280
Catch radius: 88.5 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.38s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)