Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Gartrell Johnson
Gartrell Johnson

Player breakdown

Gartrell Johnson

Colorado St. · 2009 Draft Class

5-10219 lbs4th round, 134th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~40
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

34%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2009NYG101343000043
2010ATL91036036042
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2004Colorado StateMountain West021200012
2005Colorado StateMountain West0112600026
2006Colorado StateMountain West41093056541346
2007Colorado StateMountain West41819576121031,060
2008Colorado StateMountain West82511,19110272051,396

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

34%

ML model output

Context Prob

34%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.67s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 87.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
24 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)