Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Gavin Sawchuk
Gavin Sawchuk

Player breakdown

Gavin Sawchuk

Florida State · 2026 Draft Class

Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $340K
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

15%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2025Florida StateACC12106483613121604

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

15%

ML model output

Context Prob

15%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
60.4 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.325
7 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)