Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Gerrid Doaks
Gerrid Doaks

Player breakdown

Gerrid Doaks

Cincinnati · 2021 Draft Class

5-11228 lbs7th round, 244th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~28
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

35%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2017CincinnatiBig 12387513214135648
2019CincinnatiBig 124944995870569
2020CincinnatiBig 125144673714202875

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

35%

ML model output

Context Prob

35%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.58s forty — slow speed+0.395
3.84 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
Catch radius: 90.8 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.27s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
36 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)