Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Giovani Bernard
Giovani Bernard

Player breakdown

Giovani Bernard

North Carolina · 2013 Draft Class

5-8202 lbs2nd round, 37th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~34
High1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

62%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2013CIN1617069555651431,209
2014CIN1316868054334921,029
2015CIN1615473024947201,202
2016CIN10913372393361673
2017CIN161054582433892847
2018CIN12562113352180429
2019CIN16531700302340404
2020CIN161244163473553771
2021TAM128580231233181
2022TAM882802-1027
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2011North CarolinaACC92261,22213393261,548
2012North CarolinaACC01841,22812474901,718

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

62%

ML model output

Context Prob

62%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

1,633 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396
4.53s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 84.8 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.12s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
8.50 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.339
86 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)