Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Greg Jones
Greg Jones

Player breakdown

Greg Jones

Florida St. · 2004 Draft Class

6-1249 lbs2nd round, 55th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~45
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

71%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2004JAX166216233130175
2012JAX125801164072
2013HOU16220534036
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003Oklahoma StateBig 12613690952121

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

71%

ML model output

Context Prob

71%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.55s forty — slow speed+0.395
Physical upside: 1.02 — elite athletic ceiling+0.381
2.59 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360

Top Negative Factors

Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324
9 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)