Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Isaac Guerendo
Isaac Guerendo

Player breakdown

Isaac Guerendo

Louisville · 2024 Draft Class

6-0221 lbs4th round, 129th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~26
EliteMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

78%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2024SFO16844204151520572
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2020WisconsinBig Ten0113600036
2021WisconsinBig Ten123160126166
2022WisconsinBig Ten1264385517115500
2023LouisvilleACC13109649817192841

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

78%

ML model output

Context Prob

78%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Conference-adjusted speed score: 113.2 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.33s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395
Physical upside: 1.01 — elite athletic ceiling+0.381

Top Negative Factors

4.15s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
17 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)