Player breakdown
Isaiah Davis
South Dakota St. · 2024 Draft Class
6-0218 lbs5th round, 173rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~24
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
74%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | NYJ | 17 | 30 | 174 | 1 | 9 | 75 | 1 | 249 |
| 2025 | NYJ | 16 | 43 | 236 | 1 | 21 | 186 | 0 | 422 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | South Dakota State | MVFC | 0 | 86 | 688 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 696 |
| 2022 | South Dakota State | MVFC | 0 | 211 | 1,190 | 13 | 19 | 145 | 1,335 |
| 2023 | South Dakota State | MVFC | 15 | 205 | 1,384 | 15 | 22 | 196 | 1,580 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
74%
ML model output
Context Prob
74%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
4.57s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 89.2 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227
Top Negative Factors
1 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
7.25 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.318
42 career receptions — limited volume-0.278