Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Isaiah Pead
Isaiah Pead

Player breakdown

Isaiah Pead

Cincinnati · 2012 Draft Class

5-10197 lbs2nd round, 50th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~36
MediumMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

52%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2012STL1510540316070
2013STL1072101178099
2015STL22300003
2016MIA3822016028
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2008CincinnatiBig 120281840211195
2009CincinnatiBig 1271218069202011,007
2010CincinnatiBig 1231571,0296261901,219
2011CincinnatiBig 1202091,11011363041,414

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

52%

ML model output

Context Prob

52%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.39s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395
Catch radius: 86.5 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.210

Top Negative Factors

4.32s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
2 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
7.18 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.318

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)