Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Isaiah Spiller
Isaiah Spiller

Player breakdown

Isaiah Spiller

Texas A&M · 2022 Draft Class

6-0217 lbs4th round, 123rd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~25
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

23%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2022LAC618410313054
2023LAC9379606340130
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2019Texas A&MSEC61558699272071,076
2020Texas A&MSEC51881,0369201931,229
2021Texas A&MSEC71791,0116251891,200

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

23%

ML model output

Context Prob

23%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Catch radius: 87.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
25 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Physical upside: 0.59 — average athletic ceiling-0.300
72 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)