Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Isiah Pacheco
Isiah Pacheco

Player breakdown

Isiah Pacheco

Rutgers · 2022 Draft Class

5-10216 lbs7th round, 251st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~27
Low1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

33%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2022KAN171708305131300960
2023KAN1420593574424421,179
2024KAN783310112790389
2025KAN131184621191011563
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2018RutgersBig Ten01115513211562
2019RutgersBig Ten316972971383812
2020RutgersBig Ten4116515319130645
2021RutgersBig Ten316764751325672

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

33%

ML model output

Context Prob

33%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Conference-adjusted speed score: 118.5 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.37s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395
Physical upside: 0.97 — elite athletic ceiling+0.381

Top Negative Factors

Rb rush td rate-0.411
2 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)