Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Israel Abanikanda
Israel Abanikanda

Player breakdown

Israel Abanikanda

Pittsburgh · 2023 Draft Class

5-10216 lbs5th round, 143rd overallAge at Draft: 20Age: ~23
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

22%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2023NYJ6227007430113
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2020PittsburghACC228951211106
2021PittsburghACC0118635724197832
2022PittsburghACC112391,43120121461,577

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

22%

ML model output

Context Prob

22%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

31 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.131

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
2 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
7.30 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.318

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)