Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Jacory Croskey-Merritt

Player breakdown

Jacory Croskey-Merritt

Arizona · 2025 Draft Class

7th round, 245th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~25
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

6%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2025WAS1717580589680873
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2019Alabama StateSWAC0721862698284
2021Alabama StateSWAC312143351071504
2022Alabama StateSWAC0120470413167637
2023New MexicoMountain West121891,190177721,262
2024ArizonaBig 12113106100106

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

6%

ML model output

Context Prob

6%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227
1 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
0 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)