Player breakdown
Jahmyr Gibbs
Alabama · 2023 Draft Class
5-9199 lbs1st round, 12th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~24
EliteAll-Conference x11000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
95%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | DET | 15 | 182 | 945 | 10 | 52 | 316 | 1 | 1,261 |
| 2024 | DET | 17 | 250 | 1,412 | 16 | 52 | 517 | 4 | 1,929 |
| 2025 | DET | 17 | 243 | 1,223 | 13 | 77 | 616 | 5 | 1,839 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 0 | 89 | 460 | 4 | 24 | 303 | 763 |
| 2021 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 0 | 143 | 746 | 4 | 35 | 465 | 1,211 |
| 2022 | Alabama | SEC | 11 | 136 | 850 | 7 | 42 | 378 | 1,228 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
95%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
Conference-adjusted speed score: 110.1 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.36s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395
Top Negative Factors
42 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229
0.24 TDs/catch — primary red-zone usage pattern-0.196