Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jahvid Best
Jahvid Best

Player breakdown

Jahvid Best

California · 2010 Draft Class

5-10199 lbs1st round, 30th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~37
EliteAll-Conference x11000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

93%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2010DET1617155545848721,042
2011DET6843902272871677
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2007CaliforniaACC02922121374295
2008CaliforniaACC01741,39413272461,640
2009CaliforniaACC014186712222131,080

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

90%

ML model output

Context Prob

90%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.34s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395

Top Negative Factors

4.17s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
8.24 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.318
62 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)