Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jalen Parmele
Jalen Parmele

Player breakdown

Jalen Parmele

Toledo · 2008 Draft Class

5-11224 lbs6th round, 176th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~40
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

32%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2008BAL1227000027
2009BAL7517000017
2012JAX114014307600203
2014ARI11000000
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2004ToledoMid-American038179339188
2005ToledoMid-American2592753338313
2006ToledoMid-American02071,1318161281,259
2007ToledoMid-American02761,51114171571,668

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

32%

ML model output

Context Prob

32%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.47s forty — average speed+0.395
Physical upside: 0.97 — elite athletic ceiling+0.381
Catch radius: 88.0 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.29s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
3 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)