Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jamaal Charles
Jamaal Charles

Player breakdown

Jamaal Charles

Texas · 2008 Draft Class

5-11200 lbs3rd round, 73rd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~39
Elite1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

83%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2008KAN16673570272721629
2009KAN151901,12074029711,417
2010KAN162301,46754546831,935
2011KAN21283059192
2012KAN162851,50953523611,745
2013KAN152591,287127069371,980
2014KAN152061,03394029151,324
2015KAN5713644211771541
2016KAN312401214054
2017DEN14692961231290425
2018JAX267027014
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2005TexasSEC711484411141571,001
2006TexasSEC6152805717111916
2007TexasSEC102311,45816151881,646

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

83%

ML model output

Context Prob

83%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Conference-adjusted speed score: 108.7 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.38s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395
Catch radius: 86.2 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.22s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
8.23 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.318
46 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)